# ai-bot: 352 predictions of when machines will make humans obsolete

researchers at the Oxford University's Future of Humanity Institute  << have carried out the largest-ever survey of machine learning experts on the subject >>

they << contacted 1,634 researchers who published papers at the 2015 NIPS and ICML conferences—the two leading machine learning conferences—and asked them to complete a survey on the topic, with 352 researchers responding >>

<< The aggregate forecast was that there is a 50 percent chance that 'unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers' within 45 years >>

Edd Gent. When Will AI Be Better Than Humans at Everything? 352 AI Experts Answer. Jul 25, 2017

https://singularityhub.com/2017/07/25/when-will-ai-be-better-than-humans-at-everything-352-ai-experts-answer/

<< Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans >>

Katja Grace, John Salvatier, et al. When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts. arXiv:1705.08807 May 30, 2017

https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.08807

FonT

per mia opinione (di non esperto AI) se/quando il calcolo quantistico sara' fisicamente capillare e a basso costo come lo e' attualmente l'architettura x86, nel giro di 10-15 anni (anche prima) qualsiasi attivita' umana in qualsiasi distretto geografico del pianeta sara' riproducibile, a velocita', accuratezza, professionalita', fantasia  sorprendentemente superiori e a costi quasi nulli, tendenti a zero.

Agli umani, per evitare gli usuali  vortici autodistruttivi, servira' "l'adatta stringa" ...

http://flashontrack.blogspot.it/search?q=%22adatta+stringa%22

# music: harmonic resonances from moons and rings of Saturn

<< Wherever there is resonance there is music, and no other place in the solar system is more packed with resonances than Saturn >>. Matt Russo

<< Saturn's magnificent rings act like a sounding board that launches waves at locations that harmonize with the planet's many moons, and some pairs of moons are themselves locked in resonances >>. Dan Tamayo

Astrophysicists convert moons and rings of Saturn into music. Aug 30, 2017

https://m.phys.org/news/2017-08-astrophysicists-moons-saturn-music.html

# evol: about dino's status symbol

<< The thick body armour on some dinosaurs seems perfectly engineered to foil hungry predators. But the remains of a newly discovered armoured dinosaur hint that its spiky suit had another role: showing off to potential mates and rivals >>

<< Borealopelta lived around 110 million years ago >>

Traci Watson. Dinosaurs' spiky armour may have been status symbol. Soft-tissue patterns on a well-preserved fossil suggest that elaborate spines helped dinosaurs to attract mates and communicate. Nature doi:10.1038/nature.2017.22511 Aug 26, 2017

http://www.nature.com/news/dinosaurs-spiky-armour-may-have-been-status-symbol-1.22511

# brain: to consider neurons driven by a shot noise

<< Individual presynaptic spikes can have a significant effect on a neuron's dynamics. It is thus desirable to explicitly account for the pulse-like nature of neural input, i.e. consider neurons driven by a shot noise >>

Droste F, Lindner B. Exact analytical results for integrate-and-fire neurons driven by excitatory shot noise. J Comput Neurosci. 2017 Aug;43(1):81-91. doi: 10.1007/s10827-017-0649-5. Epub 2017 Jun 6.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/28585050/

# gst: something that is called "non-stationarity"

<< “We’re looking at historical data when really we have something that is called non-stationarity,” Dr. Knight [Sandra Knight, a senior research engineer at the University of Maryland and a former official at the Federal Emergency Management Agency] said. “The world isn’t stationary anymore and the hydrology isn’t. The landscape isn’t. So why are we still presuming the future will look like the past?”

Nadja Popovich, Claire O'Neill. A ‘500-Year Flood’ Could Happen Again Sooner Than You Think. Here’s Why. Aug. 28, 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/08/28/climate/500-year-flood-hurricane-harvey-houston.html

# astro: the binary black hole spin distribution, a sort of cosmic estension of Mr. Jelly Roll

<< The direct detection of gravitational waves from merging binary black holes opens up a window into the environments in which binary black holes form. One signature of such environments is the angular distribution of the black hole spins >>

AA << report that, if the magnitudes of the black hole spins are allowed to extend to high values, the effective spins for these systems indicate a 0.015 odds ratio against an aligned angular distribution compared to an isotropic one [isotropic spin orientation: the spins of the black holes are randomly oriented with respect to the orbit of the binary system]. When considering the effect of ten additional detections, this odds ratio decreases to 2.9 × 10−7 against alignment >>

Will M. Farr, Simon Stevenson, et al. Distinguishing spin-aligned and isotropic black hole populations with gravitational waves. Nature 548, 426–429 Aug 24, 2017 doi: 10.1038/nature23453

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v548/n7668/full/nature23453.html

https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.01385

<< Amico, qualunque  cosa suonerai . . . suonerai Jelly Roll >>

Jelly Roll Morton (opp. Mouton, alias di Ferdinand La Menthe, opp. La Mothe, New Orleans, 20 ott ~1885 - Los Angeles, 10 luglio 1941, ~56a).  Ref: Alan Lomax. "Mister Jelly Roll". Duell, Sloan & Pearce, New York (1950);  cit. in: Arrigo Polillo, "JAZZ". Oscar Saggi Mondadori. (1977):315,325.

http://inkpi.blogspot.it/search?q=jelly+roll

# cvd: oops! so (maybe) high levels of hdl cho (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) don't seem so good ...

<< Men and women in the general population with extreme high HDL cholesterol paradoxically have high all-cause mortality. These findings need confirmation in other studies >>

Madsen CM, Varbo A, Nordestgaard BG.  Extreme high high-density lipoprotein cholesterol is paradoxically associated with high mortality in men and women: two prospective cohort studies. Eur Heart J. Apr 12, 2017. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx163.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28419274

Philip J. Barter, Kerry-Anne Rye; HDL cholesterol concentration or HDL function: which matters? European Heart Journal, Volume 38, Issue 32, 21 August 2017, Pages 2487–2489, https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehx274

https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article-abstract/38/32/2487/3835607/HDL-cholesterol-concentration-or-HDL-function

High levels of 'good' cholesterol linked to excessive mortality. Aug 23, 2017

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/08/170823094124.htm

more

("high-density lipoprotein cholesterol"[ALL] OR "HDL-lipoprotein cholesterol"[ALL]) AND "mortality"[ALL]

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/?term=((%22high-density+lipoprotein+cholesterol%22%5BALL%5D+OR+%22HDL-lipoprotein+cholesterol%22%5BALL%5D))+AND+(%22mortality%22+%5BALL%5D)