# gst: apropos of persistence or extinction, lag-induced critical transitions to extinction in replicating systems; the 𝜏-tipping mechanism.

<< Replicating systems sustained by error-prone enzymatic amplification can undergo critical transitions between persistence and extinction. In RNA viruses, such transitions are classically governed by mutation rates and fitness landscape topographies, giving rise to error thresholds and lethal mutagenesis. >>

<< Motivated by experimental evidence that polymerase-targeting antivirals limit replication, (AA) analyze replicating systems with explicit time lags in replication-enzyme availability by means of delay differential equations. (Their) approach is not equivalent to a simple renormalization of the rate of replication, since explicit delays introduce memory and temporal nonlocality into the dynamics. (They)  identify a lag-induced critical transition driven by the loss of temporal coordination between genome expression and replication. >>

<< At fixed mutation and replication rates ensuring persistence, populations cross an extinction threshold solely due to replication delays. In (Their) delay-extended quasispecies model, the timing of replicase availability emerges as an independent dynamical control parameter, defining a route to extinction that is fundamentally distinct from transitions driven by mutation rates or replicative fitness. >>

<< These (AA) results further suggest that perturbing the temporal coordination of viral replication may provide an alternative antiviral strategy for driving viral populations toward collapse. More generally, (They) propose that the extinction mechanism described here constitutes a form of lag-time-induced tipping, which (They) denote as 𝜏-tipping. >>

Edward A. Turner, Francisco Crespo, Joan Gimeno, et al. Lag-induced critical transitions to extinction in replicating systems: the 𝜏-tipping mechanism. Phys. Rev. E 114, 024401. Aug 5, 2026.

https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/gyd9-ctnc

arXiv: 2603.02036v1 [q-bio.PE]. Mar 2, 2026. 

https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.02036

Also: transition, pause, silence, virus, collapse, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, transitions, pause, silence, virus, error, collapse, genomes, RNA virus, replication, replicating systems, enzymatic amplification, criticality, persistence, extinction, mutation rates, fitness landscape topographies, error threshold, time-delay systems, lag-time-induced tipping, lag-induced critical transition, loss of temporal coordination.

# behav: noise-induced stability of insect swarms.

<< ️Flying insect swarms exhibit cohesion without the local velocity alignment observed in flocks of birds or schools of fish. The interaction rules and channels of communication between insects that lead to collective behavior have not yet been determined. >>

<< ️(AA) propose a theoretical model based on acoustic communication between swarm members, where each individual is attracted to a weighted mean field of its neighbors. (They) demonstrate that this simple framework can describe a wide range of swarming dynamics, including a phenomenon where pairs of insects break free from the swarm in a helical orbit around each other. >>

<< ️Counterintuitively, (Their) numerical model suggests that stochastic noise enhances the stability of an insect swarm, as it interferes with pair formation. >>

<< Finally, (AA) demonstrate that a specific species of malarial mosquito produces swarms that reside on the edge of a transition to instability. (Their) study shows that fairly simple local interaction rules can be sufficient to describe the collective behavior of swarming biological systems. >>

Justin Faber, Annabelle Boots, Dolores Bozovic. Noise-induced stability of insect swarms. arXiv: 2608.00314v2 [physics.bio-ph]. Aug 7, 2026.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.00314

Also: swarm, behavior, noise, instability, transition, sound, jazz, dance, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: behavior, swarm, noise, instability, transitions, sound, jazz, dance, flying insects, collective behavior, acoustic communication, weighted mean field of neighbors.

# gst: survival probability of particles inside the lemon billiard.

<< ️(AA) study the escape of particles in the lemon billiard, a two-parameter family of billiard systems defined by the intersection of two identical circles. Using numerical simulations, (They) explore how the survival probability depends on the position and size of the hole, as well as on the billiard shape parameter. >>

<< ️(AA) find that the survival probability exhibits a two-stage decay pattern: an initial exponential regime followed by a long-time power-law tail, a signature of the stickiness effect. (Their) results show that the short-time exponential decay rate follows a power-law dependence on the hole size, with different scaling exponents for holes placed in chaotic regions versus mixed phase-space regions. For holes located in mixed phase-space regions, the decay exponent of the long-time power-law tail remains approximately constant, while the amplitude follows a power-law scaling with hole size. >>

<< ️(They) also examine the dependence of short-time exponential decay rate on the billiard shape parameter and observe scaling behavior for small values of this parameter, which breaks down as the parameter increases. >>

Daniel Borin, Edson Denis Leonel, Diego Fregolent Mendes de Oliveira. Survival probability of particles inside the lemon billiard. Phys. Rev. E 114, 014224. Jul 28, 2026.

https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/md5j-ggyd

arXiv: 2601.13000v1 [nlin.CD]. Jan 19, 2026.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.13000

Also: billiard, particle, chaos, transition, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, billiard, particles, chaos, transitions, survival probability, two-stage decay pattern, stickiness effect, scaling behavior, scaling laws of complex systems. 

# gst: apropos of bluff-body wakes, effect of centerline separation on a vortex dominated wake.

<< A previously undocumented Reynolds-number-dependent transition is identified in the wake of a rounded-edge slanted afterbody, from a centerline-separated to a novel centerline-attached vortex state. The transition produces a pronounced drag reduction through the collapse of the centerline recirculation region as the upstream boundary layer becomes turbulent. These (AA) findings explore experimental evidence linking laminar separation bubble dynamics, shear-layer instability, and wake-state transitions in this canonical bluff-body geometry. >> ( APS Editor, https://journals.aps.org/prfluids/recent/ )

Rhylan A. Huss, Farrukh S. Alvi. Effect of centerline separation on a vortex dominated wake. Phys. Rev. Fluids 11, 074702. Jul 28, 2026.

https://journals.aps.org/prfluids/abstract/10.1103/bn64-wtlz

Also: vortex, transition, bubble, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, vortex, transition, 

bubble, laminar separation bubble dynamics, shear-layer instability, wake-state transitions.

# gst: natural invariant measures for chaotic game dynamics; finding order in chaos.

<< ️(AA) study the long-term behavior of the Multiplicative Weights Update (MWU) algorithm in game settings where learning dynamics frequently fail to converge to Nash equilibria and instead exhibit Li-Yorke chaos. While such chaos precludes the prediction of specific long-term strategy profiles, it does not imply a lack of statistical structure. >>

<< ️(AA) demonstrate that natural invariant measures — a fundamental concept from ergodic theory — provide the rigorous framework necessary to find order within this chaos. Focusing on a two-strategy congestion game, (They) prove that these measures allow for a comprehensive statistical characterization of the dynamics. Crucially, (They) show that this framework extends beyond simple strategy frequencies to general observables, enabling the precise calculation of long-term time averages for broad classes of economic metrics — including payoffs, social cost, and regret — despite chaos. >>

<< ️(They) results reveal that this simple learning algorithm captures the full spectrum of behaviors found in one-dimensional dynamical systems, from unique or multiple absolutely continuous invariant measures to complex periodic attractors as well as coexisting chaotic and stable (periodic) behaviors. By bridging game theory and dynamical systems, (AA) show that statistical predictability is attainable even in the absence of pointwise convergence. >>

<< ️The intersection of game theory, dynamical systems, computer science, and statistics is rich with open questions, particularly when considering learning dynamics in games. >>

Jakub Bielawski, Thiparat Chotibut, Fryderyk Falniowski, et al. Natural Invariant Measures for Chaotic Game Dynamics: Finding Order in Chaos. arXiv: 2607.21805v1 [math.DS]. Jul 23, 2026.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.21805

Also: game, chaos, order, disorder,  in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, game, chaos, Multiplicative Weights Update (MWU) algorithm, statistical structure, statistical predictability, two-strategy congestion game, complex periodic attractors, coexisting chaotic and stable (periodic) behaviors.

# gst: on the scaling of bubble interactions in dynamic turbulence; theoretical, numerical, and experimental study.

<< This (AA) study investigates dilute bubbly decaying homogeneous isotropic turbulence at high Reynolds number using theory, direct numerical simulation, and experiments. The turbulent kinetic energy and dissipation rate follow power-law decay, while the bubble population reorganizes relative to the evolving Hinze scale. When the dissipation decays sufficiently rapidly, the Hinze scale grows faster than the characteristic bubble diameter, driving the population from super-Hinze toward sub-Hinze sizes. The system passes through a mixed regime in which coalescence dominates but breakup remains active, followed by a pure-coalescence regime. Residual breakup in the mixed regime increases the number of small bubbles and enhances coalescence, leading to faster growth of the characteristic bubble size. DNS of dilute bubble-laden turbulence shows decay exponents close to single-phase turbulence and a bubble-size distribution that shifts toward smaller diameter relative to the Hinze scale. >>

<< Before the transition, the distribution exhibits two power-law ranges associated with capillary effects and inertial breakup; after the transition, it approaches a single capillary-dominated scaling. Theory and DNS predict distinct growth laws for bubble diameter in the mixed and pure-coalescence regimes, together with corresponding scalings for number density, interfacial area, and coalescence rate. These predictions are further assessed in a spatially developing pump-driven bubbly duct flow at higher Reynolds number. Despite confinement, inhomogeneity, and wall production, the measured trends agree with the theoretical and DNS-based scalings. >>

<< The (AA) results identify Hinze-scale drift as the organizing mechanism for bubble interactions in both idealized and practical decaying turbulent flows, and provide guidance for population-balance and interfacial-area-transport models. >>

Vivek Kumar, Prasoon Suchandra, Shivam Prajapati, et al. On the scaling of bubble interactions in dynamic turbulence: theoretical, numerical, and experimental study.  arXiv: 2607.25251v1 [physics.flu-dyn]. Jul 28, 2026.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.25251

Also: bubble, transition, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, bubble, transitions, dilute bubbly decaying, coalescence, mixed- pure-coalescence regimes, dilute bubble-laden turbulence, capillary effects, inertial breakup, decaying turbulent flows.  

# gst: emergence of minimal chimera in uncoupled oscillators under common frequency-modulated driving.

<< (AA) report the experimental realization of minimal chimera states in a system of three uncoupled oscillators driven solely by frequency-modulated forcing. Unlike conventional scenarios where chimera states emerge due to interactions among oscillators, here the coexistence of coherent and incoherent dynamics arises entirely from a common external modulation of a system parameter. By tuning the modulation amplitude and frequency, the system exhibits transitions between global synchronization, global incoherence, and minimal chimera states. >>

<< The stability of these regimes is quantified using the maximal Lyapunov exponent, while a synchronization order parameter is employed to characterize the degree of coherence. A systematic exploration of the parameter space reveals well-defined regions associated with distinct dynamical behaviors. To provide analytical understanding, (AA) employ a phase-reduction approach and derive the corresponding phase dynamics, which elucidate the mechanisms underlying phase locking and desynchronization. The robustness of the proposed mechanism is further demonstrated in a time-delayed chaotic system. >>

<< Finally, experimental results obtained from an electronic circuit realization confirm the emergence of minimal chimera states under frequency-modulated driving. These findings establish external modulation as a viable route to chimera formation without coupling, offering a new perspective on collective dynamics in driven nonlinear systems. >>

Debabrata Biswas, Tanmoy Banerjee. Emergence of minimal chimera in uncoupled oscillators under common frequency-modulated driving: theory and experiment. arXiv: 2607.25449v1 [nlin.CD]. Jul 28, 2026.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.25449

Also: chimera, transition, chaos, in https://www.inkgmr.net/kwrds.html 

Keywords: gst, chimera, transition, chaos, three uncoupled oscillators, coherent- incoherent dynamics, frequency-modulated forcing, global synchronization, global incoherence, minimal chimera states.